Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028746 0.032698 0.037027 0.042128 0.047979 0.054490 0.062295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.022099 0.027344 0.033619 0.041705 0.051882 0.064311 0.080713
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019102 0.025010 0.032514 0.042790 0.056574 0.074532 0.099876
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016469 0.022562 0.030679 0.042358 0.058856 0.081516 0.115321
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.015076 0.021489 0.030397 0.043784 0.063585 0.092093 0.136790
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013132 0.019362 0.028331 0.042325 0.063860 0.096160 0.149049
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.011742 0.017853 0.026945 0.041623 0.065053 0.101547 0.163762
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010359 0.016192 0.025128 0.040008 0.064557 0.104131 0.174125
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009871 0.015859 0.025305 0.041529 0.069199 0.115374 0.200148
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009427 0.015541 0.025456 0.042991 0.073853 0.127077 0.228334
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009023 0.015242 0.025594 0.044418 0.078555 0.139311 0.258920
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008354 0.014426 0.024774 0.044069 0.080029 0.145893 0.279681
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007724 0.013635 0.023949 0.043673 0.081455 0.152692 0.302067
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007159 0.012910 0.023176 0.043300 0.082893 0.159696 0.325848
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006863 0.012643 0.023204 0.044425 0.087328 0.172991 0.364313
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006387 0.011997 0.022463 0.043975 0.088557 0.179952 0.390132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006192 0.011867 0.022688 0.045459 0.093888 0.195954 0.438006
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005668 0.011049 0.021501 0.043941 0.092729 0.198011 0.454365
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005279 0.010468 0.020731 0.043211 0.093176 0.203584 0.479642
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004828 0.009722 0.019568 0.041530 0.091343 0.203841 0.492100
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.004732 0.009701 0.019892 0.043113 0.097030 0.221929 0.551242
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004634 0.009665 0.020179 0.044635 0.102738 0.240720 0.614880
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004534 0.009618 0.020438 0.046119 0.108516 0.260344 0.683579